GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Correa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Maracanã are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Maracanã hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio CorreaLDDLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MaracanãLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sampaio CorreaMaracanã
38.9Attack36.1
75.0Defence80.6
44.4Form58.3
52.8Power60.8
0.59xG0.51
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