GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 8/12/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while São Gonçalo EC RJ are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.0% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

22.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio Corrêa RJDWWLD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
São Gonçalo EC RJDDWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJSão Gonçalo EC RJ
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence80.0
77.8Form60.0
72.8Power61.4
0.85xG0.72
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