Sampaio Corrêa RJvs
Resende
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Rio · 7/22/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Resende are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20