Sampaio Corrêa RJvs
Nova Iguaçu
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nova Iguaçu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.5 against 46.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40