GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nova Iguaçu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.5 against 46.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio Corrêa RJDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nova IguaçuDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJNova Iguaçu
25.0Attack23.3
66.7Defence66.7
36.1Form40.0
45.5Power46.1
0.53xG0.44
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