Sampaio Corrêa RJvs
Noroeste
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Noroeste are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Noroeste hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00