GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Noroeste are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Noroeste hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio Corrêa RJDLDLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NoroesteLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJNoroeste
25.0Attack38.9
66.7Defence69.4
36.1Form44.4
45.5Power51.9
0.48xG0.72
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