SamguralivsTorpedo Kutaisi

Samgurali are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Torpedo Kutaisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Kutaisi hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Torpedo Kutaisi holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.