Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Samgurali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dila are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
13.1%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00