GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avellino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sambenedettese are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Avellino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avellino hold a 68.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Avellino holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avellino

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Avellino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SambenedetteseWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AvellinoWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SambenedetteseAvellino
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power91.7
1.40xG2.00
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