Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iraty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Samas are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Iraty are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Iraty hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Paranaense - 3, while Iraty holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Iraty
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
15.1%
Iraty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/1.33
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60