Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while VJS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and VJS hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Ykkönen, while VJS holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20