Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Suomen Cup, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80