Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
SalPa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rops are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
8.7%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00