Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PKKU are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00