Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
vaasa PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
SalPa II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while vaasa PS are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 67.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Suomen Cup, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
vaasa PS
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80