GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 6/27/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The Cove · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while The Cove are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and The Cove hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the South Australia State League 1, while The Cove holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The Cove

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

The Cove has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Salisbury UnitedDLWLW

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
The CoveLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Salisbury UnitedThe Cove
40.9Attack43.9
28.8Defence45.5
25.8Form39.4
34.3Power43.7
1.43xG1.81
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