GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/2/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Eastern United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern United hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the South Australia State League 1, while Salisbury United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury United

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Salisbury United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Salisbury UnitedLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Eastern UnitedLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Salisbury UnitedEastern United
40.9Attack37.9
28.8Defence33.3
25.8Form33.3
34.3Power37.2
1.77xG1.53
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