GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Salford City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shrewsbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salford City hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (29.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the League Cup, while Salford City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salford City

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

12.7%

Salford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Salford CityDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ShrewsburyDLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Salford CityShrewsbury
33.3Attack33.3
22.2Defence33.3
22.2Form0.0
29.0Power23.7
1.48xG1.45
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