GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sagan Tosu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sagan Tosu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mito Hollyhock hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sagan Tosu holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sagan Tosu

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Sagan Tosu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sagan TosuLDLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mito HollyhockWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sagan TosuMito Hollyhock
22.2Attack50.0
77.8Defence53.3
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power52.7
1.39xG1.32
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