GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sagamihara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sagamihara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Roasso Kumamoto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sagamihara hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the J3 League, while Sagamihara holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sagamihara

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

13.8%

Sagamihara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SagamiharaLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Roasso KumamotoLDWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
66.7Attack0.0
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form33.3
71.2Power48.3
1.44xG0.89
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