Sacramento Republicvs
Sporting JAX
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Sacramento Republic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
74.6%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20