GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sacramento Republic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sacramento Republic

Probability

74.6%

Model confidence

74.6%

Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sacramento RepublicWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting JAXLDWLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sacramento RepublicSporting JAX
44.4Attack40.4
70.4Defence10.5
50.0Form14.0
55.6Power25.1
2.44xG0.60
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