Sacramento Republicvs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sacramento Republic are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Spokane Velocity are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the USL League One Cup, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60