Sacramento RepublicvsNew Mexico United

Sacramento Republic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while New Mexico United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.