Sacramento Republicvs
El Paso Locomotive
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sacramento Republic are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60