GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 6/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sacachispas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lugano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacachispas hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.6% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

28.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SacachispasWDWLW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
LuganoWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SacachispasLugano
42.0Attack39.1
76.8Defence71.0
59.4Form52.2
60.1Power55.6
0.80xG0.49
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