Saburtalo IIvs
Varketili
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 4/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Saburtalo II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Varketili are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 82.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60