Saburtalo IIvsMerani Tbilisi

Saburtalo II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Merani Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo II hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Liga 3, while Saburtalo II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.