Saburtalo IIvs
Gonio
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 4/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Saburtalo II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gonio are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo II hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00