Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sabah FA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aarhus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sabah FA hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (73.1 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the UEFA Champions League, while Sabah FA holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
12.2%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60