Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabadell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sabadell are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Manresa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sabadell hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sabadell holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sabadell
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Sabadell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20