GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 7/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mārupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Rēzekne FA are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Mārupe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mārupe hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the 1. Liga, while Mārupe holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mārupe

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Mārupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rēzekne FALDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MārupeLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rēzekne FAMārupe
27.1Attack54.2
4.2Defence47.9
10.4Form45.8
18.5Power49.1
0.91xG2.88
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