Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Ryazan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kvant are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan hold a 40.9-point power-rating edge (62.3 v 21.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.3% in the Second League - Group 3, while Ryazan holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
86.3%
Model confidence
86.3%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40