GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holyhead Hotspur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ruthin Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Holyhead Hotspur are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Holyhead Hotspur hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the FAW Championship, while Holyhead Hotspur holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holyhead Hotspur

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Holyhead Hotspur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ruthin TownLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Holyhead HotspurDWWDW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ruthin TownHolyhead Hotspur
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power53.0
1.56xG1.81
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