GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denbigh Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Ruthin Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Denbigh Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Denbigh Town hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the FAW Championship, while Denbigh Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Denbigh Town

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

9.4%

Denbigh Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ruthin TownLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Denbigh TownLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ruthin TownDenbigh Town
33.3Attack83.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power56.2
1.65xG2.05
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