Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rustavi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rustavi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Meshakhte are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rustavi hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Rustavi holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rustavi
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Rustavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20