Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
11%
MediumconfidenceRudes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while NK Osijek are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and NK Osijek hold a 78.5-point power-rating edge (14.3 v 92.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the HNL, favouring a draw with 11.5% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
11.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RudesLWWLW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
NK OsijekWWLLL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
RudesNK Osijek
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
14.3Power92.8
1.09xG1.93