Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rudar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rudar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Iskra are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rudar hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Second League, while Rudar holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rudar
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
16.2%
Rudar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00