GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ruch Chorzów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ruch Chorzów are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lechia Gdansk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ruch Chorzów hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (26.4 v 19.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the I Liga, while Ruch Chorzów holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ruch Chorzów

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

13.0%

Ruch Chorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ruch ChorzówDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lechia GdanskDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Ruch ChorzówLechia Gdansk
11.1Attack22.2
44.4Defence11.1
11.1Form11.1
26.4Power19.9
1.60xG1.16
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