Ruch Chorzówvs
Lechia Gdansk
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ruch Chorzów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ruch Chorzów are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lechia Gdansk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ruch Chorzów hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (26.4 v 19.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the I Liga, while Ruch Chorzów holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ruch Chorzów
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
13.0%
Ruch Chorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60