GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rubin Yalta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rubin Yalta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lugansk are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin Yalta hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.7% in the Second League - Group 1, while Rubin Yalta holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rubin Yalta

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

16.7%

Rubin Yalta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rubin YaltaLDDLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
LuganskDDDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rubin YaltaLugansk
43.9Attack33.3
63.2Defence50.0
49.1Form35.2
53.8Power41.8
1.46xG0.65
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