Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rubin are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pakhtakor are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rubin holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00