Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rubin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Navbahor are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rubin holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60