Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Rubin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while KAMAZ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rubin holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80