Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RTC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
RTC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Thimphu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and RTC hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Premier League, while RTC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
RTC
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
RTC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00