Résidence Walferdangevs
Progres Niederkorn
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Résidence Walferdange are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Progres Niederkorn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 80.3 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National Division, favouring a draw with 11.7% confidence, a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.8%
Model confidence
11.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20