Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rouen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cannes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Ligue 3, while Rouen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
14.6%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20