Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rouen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al Wakrah are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rouen hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 14.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rouen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80