GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/14/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ural · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rotor Volgograd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ural are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 71.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ural

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

14.0%

Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rotor VolgogradWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UralWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Rotor VolgogradUral
66.7Attack60.0
53.3Defence93.3
60.0Form66.7
60.3Power71.5
1.20xG1.34
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