GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rotor Volgograd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rotor Volgograd are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chelyabinsk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotor Volgograd hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the First League, while Rotor Volgograd holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rotor Volgograd

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

12.3%

Rotor Volgograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rotor VolgogradLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChelyabinskWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
61.1Attack46.7
55.6Defence46.7
55.6Form40.0
58.0Power45.5
1.77xG1.07
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