Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rotherham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while West Brom are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and West Brom hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (20.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the League Cup, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
12.7%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80