Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Rostov II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Izberbash are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rostov II hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.9% in the Second League - Group 1, while Rostov II holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rostov II
Probability
91.9%
Model confidence
91.9%
Rostov II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60