Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Roskilde are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Frem are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Roskilde hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Roskilde holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80